Every row above is a player prop a sportsbook is offering today — a line like "over 27.5 points" — paired with how often that player has actually cleared that number in their recent games. We are not predicting the next game. We are showing you what already happened, so the number in front of you has some history attached to it.

The share of games in your selected window where the player finished above the line. Use the Window control to switch between the last 5, 10 or 14 games. A short window reacts fast to a player's current form; a long one is steadier but slower to notice that something has changed, like a new role in the rotation or a return from injury. Reading both is more informative than trusting either.

Consecutive games cleared (or missed) counting back from the most recent one. A long streak and a mediocre hit rate usually means the player's role changed recently — worth opening the card to see where the change starts.

Sportsbooks price independently, so the same player can be 26.5 at one book and 27.5 at another. Each card lists every book we have a line from, so you can see the spread rather than the first number you happened to look at. A full point on a scoring prop is a meaningful difference.

Lines come from The Odds API; player game logs, box scores and news come from ESPN's public data; game-time weather from OpenWeather. Props refresh on a schedule through the day rather than continuously, so a line here can lag the one your book is showing right now — always confirm at the book before acting on a number. We are not a sportsbook, we take no wagers, and nothing here is betting advice. Read the full methodology.

It is not a probability. A 70% hit rate says the player finished above this exact number in 70% of the games we counted — usually seven out of ten, a small enough sample that one different result would have made it 60%. It knows nothing about tonight: not a minutes restriction, not a lineup card that dropped an hour ago, not a coordinator who was fired on Tuesday. Sportsbooks price with all of that, so when a line looks obviously mispriced against its own history, the likelier explanation is that the book knows something the box scores don't yet reflect. Treat a striking number as a reason to go looking, not as a conclusion.

Every sport's markets behave differently, and the right amount of scepticism genuinely differs between them — baseball produces the noisiest short-run numbers of anything here despite having the most games, while basketball produces the steadiest. Each guide covers which markets exist for that sport, what actually moves them, and how far a hit rate can be trusted in it.

Longer pieces on the things that decide outcomes more often than the pick does: reading a hit rate honestly, why half a point matters more than most people expect, how far a short window can mislead you, what each extra parlay leg really costs, and how to set limits before you need them.

Sports betting is restricted to adults — 21 and over in most US states, 18 in a few — and availability varies by state and operator. If gambling stops being fun, help is free, confidential and available 24/7: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) in the US. More on betting responsibly.